Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.397853 0.524743 0.670571 0.848206 1.056388 1.290383 1.570968
2025-11-23 0.228637 0.380228 0.580850 0.854862 1.208503 1.639199 2.192716
2025-11-30 0.146721 0.308156 0.552057 0.919098 1.429839 2.089412 2.978708
2025-12-07 0.090416 0.245814 0.514738 0.957740 1.615897 2.507956 3.757281
2025-12-14 0.052096 0.191308 0.469835 0.970841 1.760993 2.878067 4.493410
2025-12-21 0.026566 0.142528 0.416020 0.954548 1.854376 3.177209 5.145997
2025-12-28 0.013923 0.113001 0.386778 0.970284 1.992955 3.543945 5.904550
2026-01-04 0.006300 0.087390 0.354609 0.971766 2.104328 3.872621 6.619525
2026-01-11 0.001951 0.062508 0.311277 0.940584 2.153941 4.106526 7.203534
2026-01-18 0.000387 0.044773 0.276479 0.917469 2.211479 4.351383 7.808518
2026-01-25 0.000038 0.034139 0.256859 0.922219 2.316923 4.673963 8.537164
2026-02-01 NaN 0.022979 0.225465 0.891244 2.350612 4.879687 9.093448
2026-02-08 NaN 0.019162 0.223128 0.933527 2.531318 5.339757 10.061873
2026-02-15 NaN 0.013774 0.207046 0.936347 2.634307 5.674983 10.848720
2026-02-22 NaN 0.012439 0.213512 1.002471 2.869586 6.242337 12.012661
2026-03-01 NaN 0.010152 0.211001 1.042322 3.053133 6.727367 13.058902
2026-03-08 NaN 0.007397 0.200334 1.055608 3.181472 7.121078 13.969714
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004560 0.181298 1.038022 3.241649 7.397028 14.698565
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003184 0.173460 1.054548 3.376284 7.807561 15.651428
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001972 0.162120 1.056039 3.476627 8.158925 16.514606
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000876 0.142799 1.022940 3.494913 8.361794 17.139179
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000334 0.127239 0.998402 3.529732 8.594357 17.815881
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000139 0.119640 1.003431 3.634424 8.958227 18.716129